January 2025 Tampa Bay Real Estate Update: Key Trends for Buyers & Sellers

From luxury home sales to distressed properties, from pricing to inventory, we cover everything you need to know about the Tampa Bay real estate market in our January update. 

Watch the full breakdown of January’s market statistics in our latest video below! Discover the trends driving Tampa Bay’s real estate market, from sales data to pricing insights. Don’t forget to hit the subscribe button on our YouTube channel for more expert updates and exclusive property tours.

Strong December Sales Show Market Activity Picking Up

December proved to be a strong month for real estate across Tampa Bay, with 30% more homes sold compared to November. The momentum of December continues to drive sales into the new year. Here’s what this means for buyers and property owners in Tampa (Hillsborough County) and the St. Pete – Clearwater (Pinellas County) areas:

Pinellas County: Higher Prices Reflect Premium Properties

  • Sold Properties:
    • 913 Homes Sold, up 32% compared to November 
    • $478,000 Median Sales Price. This means half of the 913 properties sold for less than $478,000 and half sold for more. The number of luxury home sales continues to skew the average upwards. We will discuss luxury home sales further down in the article. 
    • $600,633 Average Sales Price. In December 92 of the 913 homes were upwards of a million dollars. The highest sales price was on St. Pete’s most prestigious street, Brightwaters Boulevard. The waterfront home sold for $6.8m. 
  • Under Contract (Pending Sales) as of 1/11/2025:
    • 902 homes under contract
    • $480,000 Median price
    • $666,781 Average contract price. 
  • Active Listings:
    • 2885 homes for sale
    • $524,950 Median list price 
    • $854,855 Average list price 

Hillsborough County: Steady Demand, Stable Prices

  • Sold Properties:
    • 1233 Homes Sold, up 26% from November
    • $425,000 Median Sales Price –  Half the homes sold below this price, showing affordability remains within reach for many buyers. It is important to note that the median price in November 2024 and November 2023 was also $425,000. For a point of reference, the national median sales price was $406,000.
    • $543,117 Average Sales Price. This number is skewed higher than the median due to the number of luxury home sales. In December 86 of the 1233 homes sold were upwards of a million dollars. The highest priced sale was a 6000SF home in Palma Ciea Country Club, a nonwaterfront, golfcourse community in Tampa. This home sold for $5,750,000. 
  • Under Contract (Pending Sales):
    • As of 1/11/2025, 1254 homes are under contract, with a median price of $425,000 (the same as December’s closed sales) showing stable pricing.
    • The average contract price of $544,940 is consistent with recent sales trends.
  • Active Listings:
    • 3854 homes available for sale
    • $465,250 median list price 
    • $692,137 average list price

Additional Market Observations:

  • Time to Contract: The median time it takes for a home to go under contract is 43 days, or an average of 71-73 days.
  • Price Reductions: More and more sellers are reducing their price. For example, in the past 7 days, 314 homes have come to the market but there were 449 price reductions! The average price reduction was 4.37%.
  • Sale-to-List Price Ratio: Homes are selling for 95-97% of the corrected list price. 
  • Cancellations: In the first two weeks of January, 312 listings were canceled in Pinellas County, meaning sellers have decided to take their properties off the market for various reasons. The most common reasons are switching Realtors or turning the property into a rental. 

What's Driving Tampa Bay's Luxury Home Market?

Although the Great Migration has ended, a wave of affluent buyers continue to move to the Tampa Bay area for our luxurious and active lifestyle.

Gone is the reputation of heaven’s waiting room for the older generation. Wealthy millennials are attracted to our healthy job market, which leads the nation in the private sector. 

In Tampa Bay you will find numerous professional sports teams with the Bucs, Lightening, Rays, and Rowdies, not to mention catching your favorite teams for spring training. Our warm weather and 360 days of sunshine provide year-round outdoor activities from boating, golf, and even, pickleball.  

Since 2020 our area has seen a 98% increase in million-dollar home sales. This is a trend we expect to continue as more businesses relocate to take advantage of our job market and tropical paradise.

Luxury Living in Tampa Bay

What does this mean if you're buying a home?

Be Patient: The housing inventory in Tampa Bay historically starts to increase at this time of the year. This inventory growth persists through the summer months.  The spring market is especially attractive for many sellers because of the influx of tourists, beautiful weather, green grass, and blooming flowers.  If your dream home isn’t available yet, it’s likely more options will become available soon.

Negotiation Power: If you want more negotiation power, look at homes that have been on the market 30-45+ days.  With the average days to contract exceeding 2 months, some sellers will begin to lower their price expectations. These sellers may be more open to negotiation price and other important terms.

Be Strategic: Price is just one term of the offer. By knowing all the terms of the contract and other important motivation points, we can help you strategically negotiate the home of your dreams. With the market starting to stabilize, don’t hesitate to make an offer, especially with sellers who have priced their homes higher than the market value. Patience and persistence can lead to finding the right home at the right price.

What does this mean if you're selling a home?

Price Competitively: Pricing your home properly in the beginning is the best way to ensure you get the home sold for the right price. I see many sellers price their property above market value, hoping for a greater return and/or leaving too much negotiation room. Overpriced homes are being overlooked. By setting a realistic price upfront, we can help you position your home to attract more attention in a shorter timeframe. Saving you time, money, and stress. 

Competitive Edge: With inventory increasing it is important that your property stands out among the competition. We take a strategic approach when it comes to preparing your home for the competitive marketplace. Below are some quick tips to help you prepare your home for the market. Before you spend any money on repairs or upgrades, give us a call to make sure it is money well spent. 

  • Staging: Thoughtful staging highlights the property’s best features. By arranging furniture and décor strategically, buyers envision the home as their own, increasing its emotional appeal and marketability.

  • Repairs: Fix any issues that could deter buyers. Small repairs make a big difference and demonstrate that the home is well-maintained and move-in ready. If you are unsure where to spend your money for the best return, consult with one of our real estate experts. 

  • Landscaping: Curb appeal sets the tone for a buyer’s experience. A well-manicured lawn, fresh mulch, trimmed hedges, and vibrant flowers can create an inviting exterior that encourages buyers to explore further.

  • Professional Cleaning: A clean home always sells faster and for more money. It conveys pride of ownership and reassures buyers that the property has been maintained. Deep cleaning every corner, including baseboards, shower tiles, ceiling fans, and windows, leaves a lasting impression.

Adapt to Feedback: The lack of feedback from a lack of showings is feedback in itself. If your home isn’t receiving interest within the first few weeks, it may be time to reassess your pricing and/or presentation. Early adjustments can help prevent a prolonged time on the market. 

What else are we seeing?

Are Distressed Property Sales on the Rise?

After Hurricane Helene flooded over 10,000 homes in Pinellas County on September 26, 2024, many investors speculated that property owners would be left underwater. For this reason, we have been watching short sales and foreclosures. Here is what we have seen so far…

  • December Sales: 7 distressed properties ols, only one suffered flood damage
  • Pending Properties: 17 short-sales and foreclosures are under contract. 6 of the 17 have flood damage. 
  • Active Listings: 21 available for sale, only one with flood damage.

 

It is still too early to determine if property owners of flood-damaged homes are in a financially distressed situation. Many are still waiting to hear back from their insurance company to figure out their next steps. We will continue to watch these numbers and report back next month. 

Uptick in Auctioned Homes: What It Means for the Market

In recent weeks, there’s been a noticeable increase in homes being auctioned. Currently, 9 properties in our local MLS are listed with upcoming auction dates. Over the past 90 days, the number of homes sold at auction has doubled—rising to 14 compared to just 7 in the previous 90 days.

Why the surge? Auctions can be a powerful tool to maximize marketing exposure, attracting attention to properties that may not generate enough interest through traditional sales methods.

Curious about the process, I attended a recent auction in the Tropical Shores neighborhood of St. Petersburg. While only one bidder participated, his bid at the starting price didn’t meet the reserve. However, by the next day, the property was marked as pending—a clear indication that auctions can generate momentum, even if the winning bid isn’t achieved during the event.

With several auctions scheduled in the coming weeks, we’ll continue monitoring this trend and provide updates in next month’s report. Stay tuned!

Final Thoughts

The Tampa Bay real estate market is full of opportunities as we head into 2025. Whether you’re a buyer looking for your dream home or a seller ready to maximize your property’s value, staying informed is key to making confident decisions. At The Tenpenny Collection, we’re dedicated to providing the expertise and resources you need to succeed in today’s market.

If you’re a seller seeking advice on how to price, prepare, or market your property effectively, we’re here to help you create a strategy that achieves your goals. For buyers, navigating a competitive market can be overwhelming, but our team is ready to guide you every step of the way to find the perfect home at the right price.

For more updates, market insights, and exclusive property tours, be sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel and never miss a beat in Tampa Bay real estate!